The following states still have upcoming filing deadlines:
| State | Deadline |
|---|---|
| Florida | 5/2/2008 |
| Georgia | 5/2/2008 |
| Michigan | 5/13/2008 |
| Nevada | 5/16/2008 |
| Connecticut | 5/24/2008 |
| Colorado | 5/29/2008 |
| Wyoming | 5/30/2008 |
| Alaska | 6/2/2008 |
| Massachusetts | 6/3/2008 |
| Arizona | 6/4/2008 |
| Oklahoma | 6/4/2008 |
| Washington | 6/6/2008 |
| Kansas | 6/10/2008 |
| New Hampshire | 6/13/2008 |
| Rhode Island | 6/25/2008 |
| Wisconsin | 7/8/2008 |
| Louisiana | 7/11/2008 |
| Minnesota | 7/15/2008 |
| New York | 7/17/2008 |
| Vermont | 7/21/2008 |
| Hawaii | 7/22/2008 |
| Delaware | 7/25/2008 |
The thing is, at least on the federal level, there aren’t too many interesting seats left to fill. Also, it’s getting awfully late. Last cycle, almost every plausibly competitive challenger had filed by now. One of the few who did not, Dave Mejias in NY-03 on Long Island, gave Peter King his toughest re-election fight ever, but was hampered by his late start. Mejias didn’t get in until late May, but that was only because another candidate, David Denenberg, himself entered late and then dropped out just two days after announcing.
Disappointingly, NY-03 appears to be without a candidate deep into the season once more. I’d hate to give King a free ride. In any event, are there any other unfilled races in the states on this list that you think we might have any kind of shot at?
is PVI D+2 so why can’t the Dems recruit a candidate there… even if just to gain name recognition and get campaign experience in case next time King gets tired of being in the minority and leaves. bummer…
For comparison could you tally the number of incumbant Dems who will face no Republican candidate, and only minor party candidates?
This would give us a fuller picture of the emerging Democratic success parameter for this year’s election.
These are both possibly competitive seats, particularly given the rather desperate shape of GOP finances these days. MI-6 is listed at R+2, MI-10 at R+4 on my list.
Probably the best of the rest would be LA=7
DE-At Large is the most friendly possible seat in the country (D+7) with a July filing date and with no first tier challenger (again). Some day Mike Castle’s ill health may result in his retirement but Delaware Dems are afraid to take on hids hefty bank account. This is about as good a year as possible. Beau Biden, anybody?
I could make a weaker case for NY-23, as well.
Sadly we haven’t had a halfway decent challenger in forever. And our rep is pretty popular – she’s cultivated a moderate image, sends out lots of sharp-looking literature, and has deep roots in the Port Huron community. She also used to be the MI SoS. I’m no fan of Candice Miller but I don’t think she’s likely to get a strong challenge this year either.